Living on the Real World

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Wicked problems.

September 30, 2010

The future’s problems – at least the ones that matter – are wicked. Today’s young people use this word for...

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Tackling the future? It’s more than just facing our problems.

September 29, 2010

Once on a plane flight from DC to Raleigh-Durham, I happened to sit next to an associate dean for minority...

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Tackling the future.

September 28, 2010

Years ago, when I was in high school, football players in western Pennsylvania industrial towns didn’t wear face masks. (Talk...

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Prediction 5. In the future, command-and-control top-down decisions and actions will be increasingly ineffective.

September 27, 2010

A few days have passed since the last post. In part this is because my wife and I took some...

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Prediction 4. We will face declining margins and greater scarcity.

September 23, 2010

Sure, the human race is on a roll. But can we keep it up? In my life I’ve run a...

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Prediction 3. The future will be punctuated by acute, highly-localized pollution episodes.

September 22, 2010

Love Canal dioxins. The Minamata mercury spill. PG&E’s leak of Chromium VI into Hinkley, CA groundwater. DDT. PCB’s. Other endocrine...

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Prediction 2. Hazards will prove more dangerous and disruptive than we expect.

September 21, 2010

The tremendous success of the human race over the past century or so – our rapid population growth, increased resource...

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Prediction 1. The future will be characterized by adverse climate shifts.

September 18, 2010

Today, let’s start with a bit of review. The last several posts have argued that: On the skin of the...

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The human race is on a roll (Part 2). Metamorphosis!

September 16, 2010

The human race is on a roll. Our numbers are up, dramatically. So is our rate of resource use per...

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The human race is on a roll.

September 15, 2010

A lot of people question this. Why? Their reasons vary all over the map, but share a bit of this...