Perspectives

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Tackling the future.

September 28, 2010

Years ago, when I was in high school, football players in western Pennsylvania industrial towns didn’t wear face masks. (Talk...

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Prediction 5. In the future, command-and-control top-down decisions and actions will be increasingly ineffective.

September 27, 2010

A few days have passed since the last post. In part this is because my wife and I took some...

Walking a Fine Hydrologic Line

Walking a Fine Hydrologic Line

September 24, 2010

by Robert V. Sobczak, National Park Service, Big Cypress National Preserve. Reposted from his blog, The South Florida Watershed Journal....

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Prediction 4. We will face declining margins and greater scarcity.

September 23, 2010

Sure, the human race is on a roll. But can we keep it up? In my life I’ve run a...

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Prediction 3. The future will be punctuated by acute, highly-localized pollution episodes.

September 22, 2010

Love Canal dioxins. The Minamata mercury spill. PG&E’s leak of Chromium VI into Hinkley, CA groundwater. DDT. PCB’s. Other endocrine...

Nowcasts: Forecasting's Achilles Heel

Nowcasts: Forecasting's Achilles Heel

September 22, 2010

by Cliff Mass, University of Washington Adapted from a post from this weekend on Cliff Mass Weather Blog. On Saturday...

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Prediction 2. Hazards will prove more dangerous and disruptive than we expect.

September 21, 2010

The tremendous success of the human race over the past century or so – our rapid population growth, increased resource...

If Climate Isn't Stable, Are We?

If Climate Isn't Stable, Are We?

September 20, 2010

by William Hooke, AMS Policy Program Director a portion of a series of essays from the AMS Project, Living on...

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Prediction 1. The future will be characterized by adverse climate shifts.

September 18, 2010

Today, let’s start with a bit of review. The last several posts have argued that: On the skin of the...

Uncertainty: A Mathematician's Perspective

September 17, 2010

by Sean Crowell, Dept. of Mathematics, Univ. of Oklahoma One thing we enjoy in mathematics is certainty of our knowledge....