Living on the Real World

Fire and Ice: a forecast for the end of the world – and sometimes, for the same-day’s national weather.

January 14, 2025

Leave it to the poet Robert Frost, writing more than a century ago, to capture in 9 short lines and...

The Indonesia tsunami of December 26, 2004

December 26, 2024

On this day, twenty years ago, Indonesia (and much of southeast Asia) experienced a catastrophic tsunami. The physical impacts extended...

Community-level stress tests (with a nudge from AI).

December 3, 2024

“Civilization exists under geological consent – subject to change without notice.” – attributed (sometimes) to Will Durant. “If you are...

Salient differences between aviation safety and community resilience.

November 25, 2024

The previous LOTRW post left this question hanging: Why, in the aftermath of natural disasters, do we simply rebuild as...

We manage other risks. Why do natural disasters pose a special challenge?

November 19, 2024

On this real world, natural threats and hazards – cycles of flood and drought; hurricanes and winter storms; earthquakes, tsunamis,...

After Hurricane Milton, whither Florida? (And the other 49 of these United States?)

November 13, 2024

Start with some context. Sea level rise is forecast to shrink the land area of Florida by some 1-10% by...

John Milton wrote Paradise Lost. Hurricane Milton is writing a sequel (“take 1.”).

October 24, 2024

Yesterday’s LOTRW post is reproduced here verbatim, but in its original form — before the ChatGPT transformation of certain sections...

John Milton wrote Paradise Lost. Hurricane Milton is writing a sequel.

October 23, 2024

The great English poet John Milton (1608-1674) is most famous for his epic poems Paradise Lost and Paradise Regained[1]. To...

Even as Helene’s high waters and media attention recede, the losses deepen.

October 10, 2024

As of this writing, it’s been two weeks since Hurricane Helene made landfall in the Big Bend area of the...

Impact! Another NOAA vignette…

September 10, 2024

…following up from the previous LOTRW post, recalling an occasion from nearly forty years ago (stop me if you’ve heard...

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